You know how birth rates in red states are a million times higher than in blue states? Nothing is more annoying than Johnny Biblebeater taking this fact to mean that all his team needs to do is wait and they'll control the nation again. Granted, if he actually did nothing that would be one thing. But I think he knows just as well as I do that it just isn't true. I'm certainly not the only person who was raised in a red state/area and moved to a blue state/area. The apple sometimes falls REALLY FUCKING FAR from the tree.
edit: map I found of population changes in the US over the past ten years.
edit: map I found of population changes in the US over the past ten years.
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Date: 2006-01-26 12:54 am (UTC)no subject
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Date: 2006-01-26 05:26 pm (UTC)I barely know you and
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Date: 2006-01-26 01:03 am (UTC)If you think about the "apostates" that you know, they probably all come from the top, say, fifth of the IQ distribution. That leaves something like 80% of the apples falling close to the tree.
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Date: 2006-01-26 01:09 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2006-01-26 06:17 am (UTC)ANYWAYS, i'm definitely in agreement with your main point. i can't say it's true for everyone, but i rejected the conservative ideals i was brought up with as soon as i was old enough to form an understanding of what was going on in the rest of the world (and the knowledge that the people trying to get me to accept these things were dumb enough to voluntarily stay in north dakota probably meant something). i know i'm not exactly typical and that most people are a lot less analytical, but the majority of the kids i grew up with followed a similar path. i think the greater percentage of people really aren't stupid... they just don't care about anything but themselves, which has mixed implications for the issue of religion.
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Date: 2006-01-26 05:59 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2006-01-26 01:50 am (UTC)and despite the obvious fact that conservatives and religious types (be it in this continent or some other) tend to have tons of children, even if they cant support them, and concientious free-thinking liberals might have few to none, it sure looks like society continues to get more and more progressive overall as the years go by.
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Date: 2006-01-26 04:30 pm (UTC)no subject
Date: 2006-01-26 02:48 am (UTC)no subject
Date: 2006-01-26 03:08 am (UTC)However, I do think that religions can become less virulent. Christianity has become much less aggressive, in general, in the last 400 years or so. Same with Judaism. Same with Mormonism (Although Smith's assassination was deplorable, I find it amusing that the Church never discusses *why* J. Smith was in that Carthage jail. I guess they decided that story of how his goons destroyed the presses at the Nauvoo Expositor wasn't such good PR).
So even if religious folk have more kids, it probably doesn't matter much, since most of the religious don't really take their religion seriously anyway.
(Unfortunately, Islam doesn't seem to have decreased in virulence much. If anything, Islam appears to have become more virulent since the middle ages. I'm not sure exactly why that is.)
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Date: 2006-01-26 02:49 pm (UTC)I moved from the conservative suburbs of Baltimore to ultra-liberal Boston. I've lived here for over six years. In that time, I've met a dozen or so people who moved from Maryland as well. But they all moved from liberal southern Maryland (Silver Springs, Columbia, Montgomery County - the "inside the Beltway" stretch) to liberal Boston. Very few people made the transition from conservative northern Baltimore County* to liberal Beantown.
Though migration is becoming more feasible as the world gets smaller, people tend to stick where they grew up. So high conservative birthrates mean more conservatives in 20 years.
* Seriously, you should see my parents' property.
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Date: 2006-01-26 05:14 pm (UTC)Also:
Date: 2006-01-26 02:50 pm (UTC)I just washed my soapbox
Date: 2006-01-26 04:30 pm (UTC)Re: I just washed my soapbox
Date: 2006-01-26 05:10 pm (UTC)Re: I just washed my soapbox
Date: 2006-01-26 05:12 pm (UTC)come skiing!
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Date: 2006-01-26 05:28 pm (UTC)Young, naive kids tend to be idealistic, and impractical -- and therefore more likely to be liberal.
As they age, and discover that liberal theory does not actually work in the realms of, say, economics and foreign policy -- they become more conservative.
So my theory is that the red/blue areas of states and the country are simply age maps. The red areas have disproportionate numbers of old people, because many of the young liberal kids leave. And the blue areas are full of those young liberal kids who have left.
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Date: 2006-01-26 06:12 pm (UTC)as far as your geographic spread, san francisco for example has a much older population than you might expect, mostly because you have to be somewhat older and successful to afford living there, yet its still one of the most (if not the most) liberal cities in the country.
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